When Fixed Assets Meet Floating Reality
Interest rate swaps: are they being used to manage assets and liabilities for banks?
The interest rate cycle that began in 2022 is often described as a stress test for banks. In reality, it is something more revealing: a structural audit of balance sheets that had quietly accumulated risk during a decade of low rates.
As rates rose rapidly, many banks discovered that their greatest exposure was not credit quality or liquidity in isolation, but the way assets and liabilities responded to change at different speeds. Long-dated, fixed-rate assets sat on balance sheets funded by liabilities that repriced almost immediately. When funding costs moved and asset yields did not, net interest margins absorbed the shock.
Interest rate swaps returned to the center of ALCO discussions, not as sophisticated financial instruments, but as practical tools to address this mismatch. Yet their role has often been misunderstood. Swaps are not directional bets on rates. They are mechanisms designed to reshape how a balance sheet behaves across scenarios.
The structure at the heart of the issue remains common. Banks originate long-term fixed-rate loans, particularly in commercial and relationship-based lending, while relying on deposits and wholesale funding that behave like floating-rate liabilities. This model appears stable in benign environments. It becomes fragile when rates move quickly.
A straightforward example illustrates the problem. A bank issues a 10-year fixed-rate commercial loan at 5%. From an income perspective, the loan provides predictability. From an ALM perspective, it introduces duration risk. The funding side of the balance sheet reprices as market rates rise, either contractually or through behavioral changes in deposit pricing.
During the 2022–2023 tightening cycle, deposit betas increased faster than many institutions had modeled, particularly among rate-sensitive customers. The result was margin compression driven not by asset performance, but by structural repricing asymmetry
2024: When the Rate Shock Ended, but the Balance-Sheet Stress Didn’t
By 2024, the conversation evolved. While rate volatility moderated and markets began pricing eventual cuts, margin pressure persisted. FDIC data from 2024 shows that net interest margins did not recover uniformly, especially among community and regional banks with high concentrations of fixed-rate assets originating during the low-rate years. The issue was no longer anticipation of hikes, but the reality of balance sheets locked into past pricing decisions.
This shift changed how interest rate swaps were used. Public earnings calls and regulatory disclosures throughout 2024 reveal that many banks deployed swaps not to protect against future hikes, but to stabilize earnings visibility and address supervisory concerns around interest rate risk management. Swaps became tools of normalization rather than anticipation.
When a bank enters into a pay-fixed, receive-floating interest rate swap against a fixed-rate loan, the economic effect is clear. The fixed asset is transformed into a floating-rate exposure. The contractual loan does not change, but the combined cash flows now move with market rates, reducing mismatch between assets and liabilities. When implemented as part of a broader ALM strategy, this approach can materially reduce net interest income volatility.
Structural Hedging vs. Reactive Hedging: Why Timing Changed the Outcome
However, timing matters. A second pattern emerged during 2024: banks that entered swaps reactively, often after margins had already compressed. In these cases, institutions locked in higher fixed payments just as markets began to price easing. While volatility was reduced, upside was constrained. The distinction between structural hedging and reactive hedging became evident.
Regulators have reinforced this lesson. Throughout 2024, guidance from the OCC and Federal Reserve emphasized that derivatives must be evaluated within the full balance-sheet context, incorporating behavioral deposit assumptions and non-parallel rate scenarios. Supervisors increasingly focused not merely on the presence of swaps, but on whether management understood their economic impact.
2025–2026: Structural Funding Shifts in a Gradual Easing Cycle
Looking ahead to 2025 and 2026, one assumption deserves scrutiny: that rate cuts will automatically repair balance-sheet stress. Forecasts point to gradual and uneven easing, not a return to ultra-low rates. More importantly, funding behavior has structurally changed.
Deposit competition, money-market alternatives and digital liquidity options have reset customer expectations. Deposit betas are unlikely to revert fully to pre-2022 norms.
In this environment, interest rate swaps remain highly relevant. Not as predictions of where rates will go, but as tools to manage how balance sheets respond across cycles.
The key question for ALCO is no longer whether swaps are available, but whether their balance sheet behaves as intended under realistic scenarios.
This is where disciplined modeling becomes essential. BARK, Balance Sheet Analysis, Regression and ForeCasting, by Jabuticaba enables banks to evaluate swaps within a unified balance-sheet framework.
By linking assets, liabilities and hedging instruments across historical relationships and forward-looking scenarios, BARK helps institutions assess whether swaps genuinely improve resilience or simply shift risk.
Interest rate swaps do not eliminate risk. They transform it. In a post-2024 landscape shaped by structural funding changes and prolonged uncertainty, understanding that transformation is no longer optiona
👉 Try BARK free before you buy.
See how interest rate swaps reshape your balance sheet, before volatility does.
References (Oxford Style)
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). (2024). Quarterly Banking Profile. Available at: https://www.fdic.gov/analysis/quarterly-banking-profile/ (Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Federal Reserve Board. (2024). Supervisory Stress Tests and Interest Rate Risk Commentary. Available at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/(Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). (2024). Interest Rate Risk Management: Supervisory Expectations. Available at: https://www.occ.treas.gov/ (Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). (2024). Deposit Rates, Policy Rates and Yield Curve Data. Available at: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/ (Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Federal Reserve Board. (2024). Monetary Policy Report – February and July 2024.
Available at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy.htm
(Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Federal Reserve Bank of New York. (2024). Deposit Betas and Bank Funding Dynamics.
Available at: https://www.newyorkfed.org/
(Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). (2024). Risk Review 2024.
Available at: https://www.fdic.gov/analysis/risk-review/
(Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). (2024). Semiannual Risk Perspective – Fall 2024. Available at: https://www.occ.treas.gov/
(Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). (2024). Deposit Rates, Money Market Fund Assets.Available at: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/ (Accessed 15 jan 2026)..
Investment Company Institute (ICI). (2024). Money Market Fund Assets – Annual Report.
Available at: https://www.ici.org/ (Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Moody’s Investors Service. (2024). US Banks: Funding and Deposit Competition Outlook.
Available at: https://www.moodys.com/ (Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Bank for International Settlements (BIS). (2024). Interest Rate Risk and Bank Balance Sheets.Available at: https://www.bis.org/ (Accessed 15 jan 2026).
Learn more at jabuticaba.app or start your free BARK trial today.